Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.5% vs 36.1%). Chiasson wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Hughes 36.5% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 58.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Chiasson
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
36.0% (2,926)
-1.7%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
38.8% (224)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
31.0% (42)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Chiasson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Chiasson is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Chiasson shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Hughes
Home
36.0% (150)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
36.9% (157)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Chiasson
Hughes
P1
42.3%
36.9%
P2
33.3%
33.4%
P3
34.5%
38.2%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%