Scouting Report
Alex Chiasson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 48.8% vs Hughes 38.0% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Chiasson
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
34.5% (342)
+10.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Chiasson has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Chiasson is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Chiasson shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Hughes
Home
44.4% (9)
32.6% (187)
Away
42.9% (14)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Chiasson
Hughes
P1
66.7%
33.9%
P2
37.5%
34.2%
P3
16.7%
36.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
43.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
34.6%