Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Chiasson wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 73.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 75.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Chiasson
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
45.8% (1,991)
-11.5%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
48.1% (295)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
39.9% (281)
-3.5%
On even strength, Bailey has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Chiasson is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Chiasson shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Bailey
Home
36.0% (150)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
36.9% (157)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Chiasson
Bailey
P1
42.3%
46.5%
P2
33.3%
44.8%
P3
34.5%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
35.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%