Scouting Report
Alex Chiasson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 48.8% vs Bailey 44.3% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 54.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 62.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 55.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Chiasson
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
39.8% (83)
+5.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
27.3% (22)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
80.0% (5)
+20.0%
On power play, Bailey has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Chiasson is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Chiasson shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Bailey
Home
44.4% (9)
33.3% (48)
Away
42.9% (14)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Chiasson
Bailey
P1
66.7%
33.3%
P2
37.5%
47.2%
P3
16.7%
39.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
43.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%