Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 48.8% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 59.7%
Neutral zone
Chiasson 50.7%
Result
Alex Chiasson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Chiasson
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
62.5% (24)
-17.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Chiasson has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Chiasson is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Chiasson shoots right. Toffoli is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Toffoli
Home
44.4% (9)
52.9% (17)
Away
42.9% (14)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Chiasson
Toffoli
P1
66.7%
58.3%
P2
37.5%
50.0%
P3
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
43.5%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%