Alex DeBrincat vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex DeBrincat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 45.9% vs Marchessault 45.9% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
DeBrincat 53.1%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 50.8%
Neutral zone
DeBrincat 54.4%
Result
Alex DeBrincat favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
DeBrincat
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
30.0% (30)
+5.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
66.7% (3)
-25.0%
On power play, Marchessault has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. DeBrincat is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (16).
DeBrincat shoots right. Marchessault is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Marchessault
Home
47.8% (23)
33.3% (21)
Away
26.1% (23)
33.3% (12)
By Period
DeBrincat
Marchessault
P1
42.1%
45.5%
P2
36.4%
25.0%
P3
33.3%
22.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
37.0%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%