Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Stepan 54.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.9%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 54.2%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Galchenyuk
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Galchenyuk
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
54.5% (374)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
0.0% (2)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
64.7% (68)
+35.3%
On power play, Galchenyuk has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Stepan
Home
48.9% (219)
54.5% (222)
Away
56.3% (190)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Stepan
P1
48.8%
57.5%
P2
53.4%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
59.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |