Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Carter 56.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 71.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 83.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Galchenyuk
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Galchenyuk
Carter
Last 7: Galchenyuk 5-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Galchenyuk
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
0
Galchenyuk
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
57.9% (885)
-6.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
61.7% (133)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.4% (119)
+54.6%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Carter
Home
48.9% (219)
58.2% (543)
Away
56.3% (190)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Carter
P1
48.8%
57.5%
P2
53.4%
57.1%
P3
54.9%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
59.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |