Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.5%). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 75.3%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 56.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
52.5% (570)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
54.5% (145)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (36)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
Home
48.9% (219)
55.0% (391)
Away
56.3% (190)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Pavelski
P1
48.8%
50.8%
P2
53.4%
55.0%
P3
54.9%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |