Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Hayes 47.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Galchenyuk leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 67.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Last 10: Galchenyuk 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Galchenyuk
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
1
Galchenyuk
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
3
Galchenyuk
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
47.5% (6,708)
-0.1%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
51.7% (702)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
45.3% (697)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,767).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Home
47.2% (1,504)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Hayes
P1
45.3%
47.5%
P2
47.9%
47.6%
P3
46.6%
47.9%
OT
59.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |