Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 82.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.3%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 52.7%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Galchenyuk
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Galchenyuk
Eller
Last 10: Galchenyuk 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
2
Galchenyuk
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Galchenyuk
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.7%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
52.8% (621)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
46.7% (1,751)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,767).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Eller
Home
47.2% (1,504)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Eller
P1
45.3%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
50.1%
P3
46.6%
50.2%
OT
59.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |