Alex Galchenyuk vs Michael McCarron
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs McCarron 53.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 64.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.0%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 52.1%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Galchenyuk
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Galchenyuk
McCarron
Last 8: Galchenyuk 4-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Galchenyuk
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
1
Galchenyuk
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
57.5% (308)
-5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.6% (43)
+67.4%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +67.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
McCarron
Home
48.9% (219)
48.3% (147)
Away
56.3% (190)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Galchenyuk
McCarron
P1
48.8%
53.4%
P2
53.4%
59.5%
P3
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |