Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.5%). Look for Galchenyuk on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Geekie 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.2%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 50.5%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 61.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Galchenyuk
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Galchenyuk
Geekie
Last 5: Galchenyuk 2-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Galchenyuk
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
53.2% (615)
-1.3%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
44.4% (36)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Geekie
Home
48.9% (219)
55.0% (331)
Away
56.3% (190)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Geekie
P1
48.8%
53.9%
P2
53.4%
56.0%
P3
54.9%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |