Scouting Report
Alex Galchenyuk holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Johnson 50.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 72.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 69.5%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 57.3%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Galchenyuk
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Galchenyuk
Johnson
Last 5: Galchenyuk 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
0
Galchenyuk
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Galchenyuk
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
51.0% (196)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (14)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Johnson
Home
48.9% (219)
48.8% (125)
Away
56.3% (190)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Johnson
P1
48.8%
54.2%
P2
53.4%
44.2%
P3
54.9%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |