Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 52.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Galchenyuk
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
56.6% (1,064)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
60.4% (260)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.0% (261)
+46.0%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Galchenyuk is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Galchenyuk shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
O'Reilly
Home
48.9% (219)
54.9% (801)
Away
56.3% (190)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Galchenyuk
O'Reilly
P1
48.8%
58.0%
P2
53.4%
56.7%
P3
54.9%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%