Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 66.9%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 69.7%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 70.3%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Galchenyuk
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Galchenyuk
Seguin
Last 10: Galchenyuk 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Galchenyuk
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Galchenyuk
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Galchenyuk
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
56.5% (712)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
59.7% (67)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.9% (49)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Seguin
Home
48.9% (219)
58.5% (402)
Away
56.3% (190)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Seguin
P1
48.8%
58.4%
P2
53.4%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
59.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |