Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Iafallo wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hagel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 45.0% vs Hagel 40.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iafallo 52.2%
Defensive zone
Iafallo 69.3%
Neutral zone
Iafallo 55.9%
Result
Alex Iafallo favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Iafallo
Hagel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iafallo
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Hagel
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (174)
37.1% (237)
+3.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
57.1% (21)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
28.1% (32)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Iafallo has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hagel shoots left. Iafallo is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Iafallo shoots left. Hagel is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Hagel
Home
45.3% (106)
38.8% (147)
Away
39.8% (103)
36.4% (143)
By Period
Iafallo
Hagel
P1
40.7%
36.1%
P2
45.7%
36.5%
P3
40.4%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
42.6%
Hagel
44.0%▲
37.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alex Iafallo |