Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 46.0% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Killorn 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 69.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Killorn
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (30)
51.5% (594)
-18.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
51.7% (87)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Killorn has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Killorn is 30.8% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Killorn shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Killorn
Pavelski
Home
32.0% (25)
53.1% (339)
Away
42.9% (14)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Killorn
Pavelski
P1
30.8%
53.8%
P2
52.9%
47.8%
P3
12.5%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
30.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
35.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%