Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Killorn wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 40.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 65.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.4%
Neutral zone
Killorn 63.3%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Killorn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Killorn
Johansen
Last 8: Killorn 3-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
2
1
Killorn
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Killorn
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Killorn
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (480)
53.1% (11,017)
-14.6%
Power Play
50.6% (87)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
25.3% (75)
50.5% (978)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Killorn is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Killorn shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Killorn
Johansen
Home
38.9% (303)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
38.3% (339)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Killorn
Johansen
P1
35.3%
53.2%
P2
42.8%
53.9%
P3
37.8%
52.8%
OT
27.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
38.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |