Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.9% vs 39.6%). Killorn wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 40.4% vs Zegras 40.2% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 52.8%
Defensive zone
Killorn 52.9%
Neutral zone
Killorn 50.3%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Killorn
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (461)
39.5% (1,582)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.6% (87)
41.4% (133)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
25.7% (74)
28.6% (7)
-2.9%
On power play, Killorn has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Killorn is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Killorn shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Killorn
Zegras
Home
39.7% (287)
40.6% (833)
Away
38.2% (335)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Killorn
Zegras
P1
35.9%
41.2%
P2
42.7%
39.1%
P3
37.9%
38.5%
OT
30.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
32.0%▼
33.5%
38.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%