Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Bedard 46.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 58.0%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 61.2%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 70.2%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Laferriere
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laferriere
Bedard
Last 5: Laferriere 1-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
3
Laferriere
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
44.2% (450)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
70.0% (30)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
53.8% (13)
-16.7%
On power play, Bedard has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Laferriere is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Laferriere shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Bedard
Home
40.3% (201)
50.7% (223)
Away
42.8% (208)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Laferriere
Bedard
P1
33.1%
40.8%
P2
40.0%
48.2%
P3
48.2%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |