Alex Laferriere vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs McMichael 43.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 58.5%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 51.2%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Laferriere
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Laferriere
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
0
Laferriere
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
42.4% (399)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
49.1% (55)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
40.6% (96)
-3.5%
On power play, Laferriere has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Laferriere shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Laferriere
McMichael
Home
40.3% (201)
43.0% (298)
Away
42.8% (208)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Laferriere
McMichael
P1
33.1%
46.5%
P2
40.0%
41.1%
P3
48.2%
41.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |