Alex Laferriere vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Malkin 45.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Laferriere
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Laferriere
Malkin
Last 5: Laferriere 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
45.6% (10,081)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
50.1% (668)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
32.2% (59)
+3.8%
On even strength, Malkin has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Laferriere is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Laferriere shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Malkin
Home
40.2% (246)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
41.8% (273)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Laferriere
Malkin
P1
36.3%
45.9%
P2
39.3%
46.2%
P3
44.9%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |