Alex Laferriere vs Pavel Buchnevich

Alex LaferriereR vs Pavel BuchnevichL
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

Alex Laferriere holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Laferriere 42.5% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Buchnevich 67.3%
Defensive zone Laferriere 58.7%
Neutral zone Laferriere 57.9%
Result Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Laferriere Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 4 (8 meetings)
4
4
Laferriere Buchnevich
Last 8: Laferriere 4-4 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Laferriere Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Laferriere Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere Buchnevich
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
33.7% (895)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
44.2% (52)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
24.3% (37)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Laferriere has a +11.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Laferriere is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Laferriere shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Home
40.2% (246)
34.7% (490)
Away
41.8% (273)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Laferriere
Buchnevich
P1
36.3%
34.4%
P2
39.3%
33.7%
P3
44.9%
33.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
37.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 24, 2026 3 17:34 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 24, 2026 3 08:13 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 24, 2026 3 00:43 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 24, 2026 2 11:51 Offensive Alex Laferriere
Jan 24, 2026 2 10:18 Neutral Alex Laferriere
Jan 24, 2026 2 03:18 Neutral Alex Laferriere
Jan 24, 2026 1 03:07 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 24, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Alex Laferriere
Laferriere's Profile | Buchnevich's Profile