Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Jenner 53.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 59.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 84.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 79.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Newhook
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Newhook
Jenner
Last 9: Newhook 5-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
1
Newhook
Jenner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
2
Newhook
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Jenner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
54.5% (6,190)
-13.0%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
55.8% (1,147)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
48.4% (998)
-1.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Home / Away
Newhook
Jenner
Home
41.6% (1,061)
54.5% (4,051)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
53.4% (4,284)
By Period
Newhook
Jenner
P1
39.9%
53.7%
P2
41.9%
53.5%
P3
43.1%
54.4%
OT
80.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 02:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |