Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Dewar 47.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 66.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 68.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 64.7%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Newhook
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Newhook
Dewar
Last 5: Newhook 4-1 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Dewar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Dewar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
46.2% (331)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
45.5% (11)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (68)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dewar
Home
45.1% (246)
43.9% (189)
Away
48.0% (246)
49.3% (221)
By Period
Newhook
Dewar
P1
44.7%
50.4%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
43.9%
40.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |