Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Cozens 52.9% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 65.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 60.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Newhook
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Newhook
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Newhook
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Newhook
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
52.6% (606)
-11.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
58.5% (94)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
33.3% (6)
+21.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Newhook is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Newhook shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Newhook
Cozens
Home
44.1% (93)
54.1% (375)
Away
38.9% (72)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Newhook
Cozens
P1
36.0%
55.8%
P2
37.9%
50.6%
P3
52.1%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |