Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Cozens 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 78.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 70.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 72.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Newhook
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Newhook
Cozens
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
6
Newhook
Cozens
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
51.4% (891)
-8.7%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
50.5% (184)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.4% (85)
+57.6%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Newhook
Cozens
Home
39.6% (278)
49.5% (638)
Away
46.1% (280)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Newhook
Cozens
P1
37.3%
51.9%
P2
42.9%
46.4%
P3
47.3%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |