Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs McCann 43.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 57.9%
Defensive zone
Newhook 56.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 50.8%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Newhook
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Newhook
McCann
Last 8: Newhook 3-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Newhook
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Newhook
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Newhook
McCann
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
43.1% (3,178)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
40.0% (260)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
42.2% (173)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
Home / Away
Newhook
McCann
Home
41.6% (1,061)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Newhook
McCann
P1
39.9%
44.4%
P2
41.9%
41.7%
P3
43.1%
42.7%
OT
80.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jared McCann |