Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Danforth 49.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Newhook leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danforth 53.2%
Defensive zone
Danforth 94.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 87.1%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Newhook
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Newhook
Danforth
Last 10: Newhook 7-3 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
2
Newhook
Danforth
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
50.5% (546)
-7.8%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
50.0% (14)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.6% (101)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Newhook
Danforth
Home
39.6% (278)
51.1% (315)
Away
46.1% (280)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Newhook
Danforth
P1
37.3%
49.5%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
47.3%
46.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |