Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Sourdif 45.9% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 69.7%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 67.0%
Neutral zone
Newhook 51.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Newhook
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
44.6% (556)
-3.1%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
50.0% (24)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
61.5% (13)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Newhook
Sourdif
Home
41.6% (1,061)
43.6% (321)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Newhook
Sourdif
P1
39.9%
43.1%
P2
41.9%
43.9%
P3
43.1%
48.6%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%