Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Sourdif 45.9% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 62.0%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 62.2%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 51.4%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Newhook
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
44.6% (556)
-3.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
50.0% (24)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
61.5% (13)
-7.0%
On power play, Sourdif has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Newhook is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Newhook shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Newhook
Sourdif
Home
44.1% (93)
43.6% (321)
Away
38.9% (72)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Newhook
Sourdif
P1
36.0%
43.1%
P2
37.9%
43.9%
P3
52.1%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%