Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Geekie 48.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 58.2%
Defensive zone
Newhook 50.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 51.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Newhook
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Geekie
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Newhook
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,850)
48.7% (2,289)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.1% (204)
45.9% (183)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
45.7% (129)
+1.4%
On even strength, Geekie has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Newhook is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (810).
Newhook shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Newhook
Geekie
Home
41.3% (1,014)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
42.2% (1,057)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Newhook
Geekie
P1
39.8%
48.4%
P2
42.2%
48.9%
P3
42.9%
47.5%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
41.8%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |