Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 82.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 64.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Newhook
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Newhook
Roy
Last 10: Newhook 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Newhook
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
Newhook
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
48.7% (3,719)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
49.5% (283)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
45.5% (477)
+1.6%
On even strength, Roy has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Newhook
Roy
Home
41.6% (1,061)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Newhook
Roy
P1
39.9%
50.8%
P2
41.9%
46.3%
P3
43.1%
48.1%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |