Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.8%). Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Roy 47.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 68.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Newhook
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Newhook
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
47.5% (617)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
39.6% (53)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.4% (97)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Newhook
Roy
Home
45.1% (246)
47.2% (398)
Away
48.0% (246)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Newhook
Roy
P1
44.7%
48.6%
P2
49.7%
48.8%
P3
43.9%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |