Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 62.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 72.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 70.8%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Newhook
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Newhook
Bergeron
Last 6: Newhook 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Newhook
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Newhook
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
62.5% (1,109)
-20.7%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
62.2% (352)
-26.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Newhook is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Newhook shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Newhook
Bergeron
Home
42.4% (236)
61.9% (917)
Away
40.4% (267)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Newhook
Bergeron
P1
42.9%
60.8%
P2
38.5%
60.3%
P3
43.2%
63.0%
Final 5 min
36.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |