Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 84.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 65.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Newhook
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Newhook
McLeod
Last 9: Newhook 3-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Newhook
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Newhook
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
52.9% (904)
-10.2%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
57.6% (59)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.0% (241)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Newhook
McLeod
Home
39.6% (278)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.1% (280)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Newhook
McLeod
P1
37.3%
55.4%
P2
42.9%
50.8%
P3
47.3%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |