Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 56.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Newhook
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Reinhart
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Newhook
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
44.6% (345)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
43.3% (97)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.2% (88)
-43.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Newhook
Reinhart
Home
45.1% (246)
47.9% (267)
Away
48.0% (246)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Newhook
Reinhart
P1
44.7%
45.6%
P2
49.7%
42.0%
P3
43.9%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.5%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |