Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 94.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 63.5%
Neutral zone
Newhook 82.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Newhook
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Newhook
Kuraly
Last 6: Newhook 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Newhook
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Newhook
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
49.2% (901)
-7.4%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
68.2% (22)
-32.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Newhook
Kuraly
Home
42.4% (236)
51.7% (603)
Away
40.4% (267)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Newhook
Kuraly
P1
42.9%
50.9%
P2
38.5%
49.5%
P3
43.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
36.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |