Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 56.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 58.5%
Neutral zone
Newhook 53.8%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Newhook
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Newhook
Monahan
Last 9: Newhook 4-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Newhook
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Newhook
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
51.1% (11,356)
-9.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
53.7% (2,580)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
46.0% (766)
+1.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Newhook
Monahan
Home
41.6% (1,061)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Newhook
Monahan
P1
39.9%
50.9%
P2
41.9%
51.7%
P3
43.1%
51.0%
OT
80.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |