Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 70.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 53.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 68.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Newhook
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Newhook
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Newhook
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Newhook
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
58.6% (597)
-15.9%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
57.9% (57)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.9% (52)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Newhook
Karlsson
Home
39.6% (278)
59.6% (344)
Away
46.1% (280)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Newhook
Karlsson
P1
37.3%
53.1%
P2
42.9%
62.1%
P3
47.3%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |