Scouting Report
Alex Tanguay holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Tanguay wins 36.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dwyer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Dwyer 38.5% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 53.4%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 52.4%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 50.4%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Tanguay
Dwyer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
36.1% (313)
+3.3%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
33.3% (15)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
28.6% (28)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Tanguay has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Tanguay is 36.2% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tanguay shoots left. Dwyer is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Dwyer
Home
38.9% (203)
36.8% (163)
Away
40.0% (180)
34.0% (194)
By Period
Tanguay
Dwyer
P1
42.9%
36.7%
P2
35.9%
30.8%
P3
40.3%
39.8%
OT
36.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%