Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tanguay wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 44.4% vs Koivu 52.6% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tanguay 87.4%
Defensive zone
Tanguay 76.5%
Neutral zone
Tanguay 74.3%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Tanguay
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Tanguay
Koivu
Last 5: Tanguay 0-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Tanguay
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Tanguay
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (64)
52.7% (873)
-13.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
63.1% (168)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
47.9% (267)
-12.2%
On even strength, Koivu has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tanguay is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Tanguay shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Koivu
Home
36.2% (47)
56.7% (601)
Away
41.7% (60)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Tanguay
Koivu
P1
41.4%
51.2%
P2
29.6%
55.2%
P3
48.5%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
34.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | OT | 03:39 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |