Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tanguay wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Koivu 51.8% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tanguay 78.1%
Defensive zone
Tanguay 75.9%
Neutral zone
Tanguay 76.9%
Result
Alex Tanguay favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Tanguay
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Tanguay
Koivu
Last 9: Tanguay 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Tanguay
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Tanguay
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Tanguay
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
51.9% (3,221)
-12.5%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
59.3% (437)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
48.0% (764)
-9.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tanguay is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Tanguay shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Koivu
Home
38.9% (203)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
40.0% (180)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Tanguay
Koivu
P1
42.9%
51.1%
P2
35.9%
52.6%
P3
40.3%
51.8%
OT
36.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | OT | 03:39 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |