Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 45.3% vs Richardson 51.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 98.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 57.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 84.4%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Tuch
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Tuch
Richardson
Last 5: Tuch 0-5 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
4
Tuch
Richardson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Tuch
Richardson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
54.6% (830)
-21.3%
Power Play
50.6% (83)
41.2% (17)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.3% (196)
+57.7%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tuch shoots right. Richardson is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Tuch
Richardson
Home
40.0% (90)
53.2% (485)
Away
45.3% (75)
51.1% (558)
By Period
Tuch
Richardson
P1
51.1%
53.9%
P2
40.6%
50.6%
P3
37.3%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
35.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.4%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |