Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Richardson 53.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 97.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 76.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 91.6%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Tuch
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Tuch
Richardson
Last 6: Tuch 0-6 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
5
Tuch
Richardson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Tuch
Richardson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
54.9% (5,037)
-16.2%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
56.8% (125)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
45.9% (1,001)
-2.7%
On even strength, Richardson has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Home / Away
Tuch
Richardson
Home
42.1% (394)
53.6% (3,164)
Away
38.8% (402)
53.3% (3,003)
By Period
Tuch
Richardson
P1
44.7%
52.3%
P2
40.6%
54.2%
P3
36.0%
53.5%
OT
27.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
39.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |