Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Connolly 43.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 57.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Tuch
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
40.2% (229)
-1.5%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
43.1% (58)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
50.0% (2)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Tuch is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Tuch shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Tuch
Connolly
Home
42.1% (394)
42.6% (129)
Away
38.8% (402)
39.4% (160)
By Period
Tuch
Connolly
P1
44.7%
41.8%
P2
40.6%
40.0%
P3
36.0%
40.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%