Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.6% vs Connolly 43.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 55.3%
Neutral zone
Tuch 51.9%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Tuch
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (475)
40.2% (229)
-1.5%
Power Play
43.3% (203)
43.1% (58)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (107)
50.0% (2)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Tuch is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Tuch shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Tuch
Connolly
Home
42.2% (393)
42.6% (129)
Away
38.8% (392)
39.4% (160)
By Period
Tuch
Connolly
P1
45.0%
41.8%
P2
40.7%
40.0%
P3
35.7%
40.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
40.5%
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%