Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Perron 40.5% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Perron 54.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 53.9%
Neutral zone
Tuch 51.6%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Tuch
Perron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
37.3% (400)
+1.4%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
44.5% (110)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
33.3% (12)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Tuch is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Tuch shoots right. Perron is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tuch
Perron
Home
42.1% (394)
42.4% (271)
Away
38.8% (402)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Tuch
Perron
P1
44.7%
42.2%
P2
40.6%
34.1%
P3
36.0%
39.8%
OT
27.3%
38.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%