Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Crouse 41.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 59.1%
Defensive zone
Crouse 55.8%
Neutral zone
Crouse 50.6%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Tuch
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crouse
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
39.1% (394)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
40.4% (47)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
39.3% (56)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Crouse is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Tuch
Crouse
Home
42.1% (394)
40.8% (262)
Away
38.8% (402)
37.4% (235)
By Period
Tuch
Crouse
P1
44.7%
44.5%
P2
40.6%
33.7%
P3
36.0%
37.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |